has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. With all of the above-mentioned commentary, and in particular because Monk has drawn into the mix an historical pivot, there is a need to examine these issues further to highlight where the fear comes from, and where it has its roots. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. China is Australia's largest trading partner, making up 30 per . Just $5 a month. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. Dr Strobe Driver reports. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Based on history, a war is in the making. Who cares as long as we have god on our side, and Captain Catholic. China is a completely different because it has a pax-Sino in mind not unlike the pax-Britannica of the 1800s and it has embarked upon this in earnest from the mid-1990s and it has a centurys long plan. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Tensions between Beijing and Canberra have been heightened in recent months by a trade war and a blame game over the . Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. This time has taken two decades and it is now in that place, or in simpler terms, China is now a major actor on the world stage and moreover, one that is prepared to back its position/s up with military force if need be. By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . The Transformation of China. The Agenda. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. A sad state of affairs. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. This is the real war. Sun 27 Feb 2022 00.26 EST First published on Sat 26 Feb 2022 19.57 EST The prime minister, Scott Morrison, has announced that Australia will provide funds for "lethal aid" to Ukraine's war. The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. It saddens me that our governments are so imbecilic that they cannot see past their current term or the noses on their faces and are selling out future generations. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. A significant part of the reason the rise of China, and the subsequent actions of the PRC government have become so chilling, and the reason the invasion word was used by Senator Lambie, is twofold. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. Over 90 per cent of the countrys population is spread along coastal areas, with a majority concentrated in a number of urban hubs located on the Pacific, Southern and Indian Ocean sides of the country. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. Australia cut. Nuh still something wrong. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. What the hell have we done? As the late ex-PM, Mr Fraser warned us, dont count on America in saving Australia, from an potential attack from China, America can no longer even save itself ! China is our largest trading partner, but we insult it by hewing to the US political line, forsaking our own strategic interests. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". China to INVADE Australia? Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. [5] Andrew Browne. On the other side of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. Furthermore, as the US is forced to shift its focus toward Central Asia, the South Americas and Israel, this will make Australia more vulnerable. China has moved in a truly global direction and is on a pathway that was triggered, and then further stimulated, by Premier Deng Xiaoping who started the process in the mid-1980s. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. 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In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". (including Australia). Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Everyone is doing it hard at present. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. Your email address will not be published. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. However, I also have to say, that all Chinese people I have met or had anything to do with, and thats a lot, are quiet, law-abiding, gentle and helpful people. 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